If President Donald Trump and Former Vice President Kamala Harris were to have a rematch election, Harris would be the victor, according to a new poll.
The Strength in Numbers/Verasight poll shows Harris winning 40% of the vote in a hypothetical rematch while Trump only wins 36%. Only 1% of adults who responded said they were undecided.
Even though 40% of adults said they would vote for Harris over Trump, 43% of them said they would not vote at all, according to the poll.
If you remove those who won’t vote from the poll, however, Harris is still the victor, receiving 47% of the vote to Trump’s 42%.
The survey’s findings present a scenario where the electorate is not pleased with Trump’s overall performance, according to the poll’s summary.
The poll found that 56% of respondents said they think Trump’s policy decisions have made the economy worse, while 22% said the policies have made things better.
A total of 15% said the impact of Trump’s policies is neutral and 7% said they “don’t know” or are “not sure,” the poll’s summary reads.
Despite these dour numbers for the president, the Democratic Party only has a slim advantage when it comes to voters trusting them on policy issues.
When it comes to jobs and the economy, 41% of adults responded that they trust Democrats to handle this issue better than Republicans. Only 39% said they trust the GOP more on jobs and the economy, according to the poll.
Democrats also have a slight advantage on inflation, with 38% of adults saying they trust the party over the GOP while 37% say the opposite.
Democrats do have a sizable advantage on three issues: government funding and social programs (48% trust Democrats, 35% trust Republicans), healthcare (46% Democrats, 33% GOP) and education (46% Democrats, 35% GOP).
Republicans, meanwhile, hold an advantage on immigration. Of those who participated in the poll, 46% of adults trust Republicans on the issue of immigration over Democrats, while 33% trust Democrats over Republicans.
For border security, the GOP holds an advantage here, too, with 50% of adults trusting the Republicans on border security over Democrats. Only 29% of respondents say Democrats are better trusted on this issue.
Republicans also have a leg up on Democrats when it comes to deportations, with 45% of adults trusting the GOP over Democrats and 34% saying they trust the Democrats over the GOP.
On the issue of foreign policy, however, both parties were tied at 40% each, according to the poll.
If the 2026 midterm elections were held today, 47% of adults said they were more likely to vote for a Democrat for their congressional district compared to 41% who said they would vote for a Republican.
A total of 12% of adults said they don’t know or are not sure.
“Voters do not trust the major parties to handle the country’s most pressing problems,” the poll’s summary reads. “With control of Congress up for grabs in 2026, voters look to be leaning toward Democrats, and disproportionately regret voting for Trump in 2024,” it added. “But Republicans retain a strong base of support and are not down and out yet.”
The poll has a sample size of 1,000 U.S. adult residents and was conducted from May 1-6, 2025. It has a margin of error of 3.2%.
